Friday, February 22, 2013

1-1 trades #17 – win - 14-3 - win rate 82%


The JPY was still shooting up so another bite at the pie seemed indicated – not with the AUD though as that had flattened. No, the one that had suddenly woken up was the EUR. In I went. 2013-02-21 21_35_15


There’s that 3 big candles let’s have some profit thing again …  All the strength charts are looking nasty.
2013-02-21 21_36_00


Because of the big candles the ADR stop was huge, this meant I could only take 7 micros instead of the usual 30 or so you get if you get in before the move. That’s very preferable, to get the same profit from 7 lots that you’d get from 35 it has to move 5 times as far so while I have the same risk I would have with more lots and a smaller stop, I’ve also got a small number of lots, a huge stop, and a huge target – 66 pips either side of the entry.
 2013-02-21 21_41_15

The profit taking was a bit more involved than I thought, and turned into a sideways move. The stop has trailled down now to about 20 pips – that’s a bit better than 66 !2013-02-21 21_55_16


Soon after that when the buy price was within a pip of the stop I grabbed another screenshot and started composing an analysis of the losing trade.  Session and T2 are now showing CONvergence not DIvergence, and the T3 is frankly confused about which way up it should be.
2013-02-21 21_56_38


Then the Yen started going up and the EUR started going down and the T1 came back into line and we dodged the bullet by a hair’s breadth.
2013-02-21 21_57_59


Then nothing happened, and enjoyed itself so much it happened again. And again. And again … 
2013-02-21 22_40_05


Then we had another poke at getting stopped out but it was pale by comparison with the last try. 
2013-02-21 22_57_14



Finally there was a decent down move, but because the ADR had shot up the dots were further away and stop actually stayed where it was.
2013-02-21 23_10_08


Watching this damn thing was like watching paint dry, so to pass the time I practised sleeping, and when I woke up again I found this – after two and a quarter hours the trade was almost at the target and the stop was comfortably and profitably below the entry.
2013-02-21 23_45_45



And … Gone.
2013-02-22 00_33_12

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